Kentucky's odds to Advance in NCAA

Ken Pomeroy over at Basketball Prospectus uses his log5 statistical analysis to determine the chance that each of the remaining 16 teams have of advancing to the Elite 8, Final 4, Championship Game, and Champion.  Previous is before the tournament started.  As you can see the Cats chances of winning it all have actually fallen.  Pomeroy sites the reason for this is the East Region held to form pretty well whereas before the tournament there was a chance Ohio State or North Carolina could have been upset.  Kentucky has a 24.8% chance of beating Ohio State, 15.1% to beat OSU and UNC/Marquette, a 6.4% chance of advancing to the Final game, and a 3.1% chance of winning it all.  Overall we have the 7th best odds of the teams remaining. 

________________________Elite8  Final4   Final   Champ   Prev

1. 1E   Ohio St.         75.2    62.0    41.9    30.6    21.6
 2. 1SW  Kansas          81.1    66.3    42.8    19.8    12.4
 3. 1W   Duke            82.9    56.5    29.4    19.0    15.3
 4. 4SE  Wisconsin       79.0    47.4    25.0     9.5     2.5
 5. 2W   San Diego St.   59.0    24.5     9.4     4.7     5.0
 6. 3SE  BYU             56.4    27.7    12.7     4.0     2.7
 7. 4E   Kentucky        24.8    15.1     6.4     3.1     3.4

 8. 2E   North Carolina  63.4    16.5     6.0     2.5     1.6
 9. 2SE  Florida         43.6    18.8     7.6     2.0     1.4
10. 3W   Connecticut     41.0    13.8     4.3     1.8     1.0
11. 10SW Florida St.     64.2    17.6     5.9     1.2     0.09
12. 12SW Richmond        18.9     9.7     3.0     0.5     0.06
13. 11E  Marquette       36.6     6.3     1.6     0.5     0.1
14. 5W   Arizona         17.1     5.3     1.1     0.3     0.2
15. 8SE  Butler          21.0     6.0     1.5     0.2     0.04
16. 11SW VCU             35.8     6.5     1.4     0.2     0.0005